{
 "seed": 20261025,
 "window": [
  "2026-08-10",
  "2026-10-25"
 ],
 "counts": {
  "notices": 264,
  "byCategory": {
   "attack_personal_data": 198,
   "mistake_no_attacker": 7,
   "other_no_personal_data_stated": 59
  },
  "attackByCause": {
   "account": 13,
   "api": 14,
   "ransom": 26,
   "scam": 1,
   "undisclosed": 76,
   "vuln": 68
  },
  "ownSystemByCause": {
   "account": 12,
   "api": 13,
   "ransom": 10,
   "scam": 1,
   "undisclosed": 63,
   "vuln": 20
  },
  "ownSystemAttacks": 119,
  "attackWithFigure": 140,
  "byMonth": {
   "2026-08": 42,
   "2026-09": 80,
   "2026-10": 142
  }
 },
 "frequency": {
  "attackNotices": {
   "weeks": [
    2,
    10,
    12,
    5,
    8,
    9,
    12,
    19,
    44,
    52,
    25
   ],
   "mean": 18,
   "variance": 262.4,
   "dispersion": 14.58,
   "poissonPValue": 0.0,
   "negBinomialSize": 1.33,
   "trend": {
    "weeklyGrowth": 0.257,
    "residualDispersion": 4.52,
    "pValue": 0.0
   }
  },
  "ownSystem": {
   "weeks": [
    2,
    10,
    12,
    4,
    8,
    9,
    9,
    18,
    19,
    13,
    15
   ],
   "mean": 10.82,
   "variance": 28.16,
   "dispersion": 2.6,
   "poissonPValue": 0.004,
   "negBinomialSize": 6.75,
   "trend": {
    "weeklyGrowth": 0.115,
    "residualDispersion": 1.67,
    "pValue": 0.091
   }
  },
  "customerNotices": {
   "weeks": [
    0,
    0,
    0,
    1,
    0,
    0,
    3,
    1,
    25,
    39,
    10
   ],
   "mean": 7.18,
   "variance": 168.96,
   "dispersion": 23.53,
   "poissonPValue": 0.0,
   "negBinomialSize": 0.32,
   "trend": {
    "weeklyGrowth": 0.695,
    "residualDispersion": 6.93,
    "pValue": 0.0
   }
  },
  "attackNoticesWithFigure": {
   "weeks": [
    2,
    2,
    5,
    3,
    4,
    5,
    6,
    14,
    39,
    39,
    21
   ],
   "mean": 12.73,
   "variance": 201.62,
   "dispersion": 15.84,
   "poissonPValue": 0.0,
   "negBinomialSize": 0.86,
   "trend": {
    "weeklyGrowth": 0.366,
    "residualDispersion": 3.78,
    "pValue": 0.0
   }
  }
 },
 "severity": {
  "n": 140,
  "median": 27283.5,
  "total": 246011916,
  "top3Share": 0.404,
  "top1Share": 0.216,
  "lognormalMu": 10.193,
  "lognormalSigma": 3.828,
  "threshold": 100000,
  "tailCount": 55,
  "hillAlpha": 0.383,
  "hillByK": [
   [
    15,
    4030000,
    1.05
   ],
   [
    20,
    2155345,
    0.77
   ],
   [
    30,
    817215,
    0.58
   ],
   [
    40,
    420000,
    0.53
   ],
   [
    55,
    100000,
    0.38
   ]
  ],
  "bootstrap": {
   "resamples": 2000,
   "low": 0.32,
   "high": 0.44
  },
  "hillWithoutIdcFrontierCustomers": 0.385,
  "yearListN": 38,
  "yearListAlpha": 0.456,
  "backtest": [
   {
    "level": 1000000,
    "yearExpected": 15.7,
    "yearObserved": 17,
    "expected": 22.8,
    "observed": 29
   },
   {
    "level": 10000000,
    "yearExpected": 6.5,
    "yearObserved": 5,
    "expected": 9.4,
    "observed": 7
   }
  ]
 },
 "lda": {
  "noticesPerYear": 663.6,
  "dispersion": 15.84,
  "years": 40000,
  "cap": 122650000,
  "empirical": {
   "mean": 1165983601,
   "p50": 1150972665,
   "p90": 1471340050,
   "p995": 1830248012,
   "p999": 1982429466
  },
  "lognormal": {
   "mean": 2530438510,
   "p50": 2495922048,
   "p90": 3298490847,
   "p995": 4197520276,
   "p999": 4589734289
  },
  "spliced": {
   "mean": 3385510222,
   "p50": 3342708922,
   "p90": 4379317177,
   "p995": 5548051270,
   "p999": 6041059183
  },
  "capSensitivity": [
   {
    "cap": 53230000,
    "meanPerYear": 2020158411
   },
   {
    "cap": 122650000,
    "meanPerYear": 3388008915
   },
   {
    "cap": 1000000000,
    "meanPerYear": 12391832222
   }
  ]
 },
 "commonShock": {
  "parameters": {
   "firms": 1000,
   "ownProbability": 0.03,
   "supplierProbability": 0.02,
   "hitRate": 0.5
  },
  "years": 200000,
  "scenarios": [
   {
    "name": "own-supplier",
    "hhi": 0.001,
    "mean": 40.0,
    "sd": 6.2,
    "sdFormula": 6.2,
    "p50": 40,
    "p995": 57,
    "p999": 61,
    "pAtLeast100": 0.0,
    "unexpectedMultiple999": 0.5
   },
   {
    "name": "50-equal",
    "hhi": 0.02,
    "mean": 40.0,
    "sd": 11.5,
    "sdFormula": 11.5,
    "p50": 39,
    "p995": 77,
    "p999": 87,
    "pAtLeast100": 0.0001,
    "unexpectedMultiple999": 1.2
   },
   {
    "name": "10-equal",
    "hhi": 0.1,
    "mean": 40.0,
    "sd": 22.9,
    "sdFormula": 22.9,
    "p50": 31,
    "p995": 135,
    "p999": 150,
    "pAtLeast100": 0.0169,
    "unexpectedMultiple999": 2.7
   },
   {
    "name": "concentrated",
    "hhi": 0.23,
    "mean": 40.0,
    "sd": 34.2,
    "sdFormula": 34.1,
    "p50": 31,
    "p995": 242,
    "p999": 276,
    "pAtLeast100": 0.0427,
    "unexpectedMultiple999": 5.9
   },
   {
    "name": "one-supplier",
    "hhi": 1.0,
    "mean": 40.0,
    "sd": 70.3,
    "sdFormula": 70.2,
    "p50": 30,
    "p995": 542,
    "p999": 558,
    "pAtLeast100": 0.02,
    "unexpectedMultiple999": 12.9
   }
  ]
 },
 "notices": {
  "customerNotices": 79,
  "customerShareOfAttacks": 0.399,
  "supplierIncidents": 19,
  "cascades": [
   [
    "Commune",
    23
   ],
   [
    "Studio",
    19
   ],
   [
    "IDC Frontier",
    12
   ],
   [
    "Arcadia (SpeeCAN RAIDEN / NET119)",
    7
   ],
   [
    "ApplyNow",
    2
   ],
   [
    "NEC development contractor",
    2
   ],
   [
    "Scala Communications",
    2
   ],
   [
    "Amadeus",
    1
   ],
   [
    "Daiichikosho's contractor",
    1
   ],
   [
    "FutureShop",
    1
   ],
   [
    "Hakuhodo (campaign secretariat)",
    1
   ],
   [
    "Iyaku Joho Net (PIN)",
    1
   ],
   [
    "Nichirei Logistics Kyushu",
    1
   ],
   [
    "Nikkei Inc. systems",
    1
   ],
   [
    "Portas (device-management contractor)",
    1
   ],
   [
    "Toypo (store app)",
    1
   ],
   [
    "TradeWorks (trading system)",
    1
   ],
   [
    "Weblife's OEM partner",
    1
   ],
   [
    "Yumil Link (Cuenote)",
    1
   ]
  ],
  "largestFourShare": 0.772,
  "bursts": [
   {
    "supplier": "Commune",
    "notices": 23,
    "busiestDay": "2026-10-09",
    "onBusiestDay": 17,
    "spanDays": 6,
    "withFoundDate": 11,
    "foundDates": [
     "2026-10-06",
     "2026-10-07"
    ]
   },
   {
    "supplier": "Studio",
    "notices": 19,
    "busiestDay": "2026-10-16",
    "onBusiestDay": 11,
    "spanDays": 7,
    "withFoundDate": 12,
    "foundDates": [
     "2026-10-16"
    ]
   },
   {
    "supplier": "IDC Frontier",
    "notices": 12,
    "busiestDay": "2026-10-13",
    "onBusiestDay": 4,
    "spanDays": 6,
    "withFoundDate": 0,
    "foundDates": []
   },
   {
    "supplier": "Arcadia (SpeeCAN RAIDEN / NET119)",
    "notices": 7,
    "busiestDay": "2026-10-13",
    "onBusiestDay": 4,
    "spanDays": 3,
    "withFoundDate": 5,
    "foundDates": [
     "2026-10-13",
     "2026-10-14"
    ]
   }
  ],
  "lags": {
   "foundToNotice": {
    "n": 72,
    "median": 2.0,
    "p75": 3,
    "max": 34
   },
   "accessToFound": {
    "n": 25,
    "median": 2,
    "p75": 13,
    "max": 25
   },
   "accessToNotice": {
    "n": 41,
    "median": 6,
    "p75": 16,
    "max": 141
   }
  },
  "dataFieldsCoded": 119,
  "identityFields": 18,
  "passwords": {
   "hashed": 12,
   "unknown-storage": 2,
   "not-confirmed": 10,
   "none": 14
  },
  "withSecondSource": 108,
  "lateFigures": [
   [
    "Fuso Dentsu",
    "2026-08-13",
    "2026-09-29",
    47
   ],
   [
    "Sagawa Express (parcel enquiries)",
    "2026-09-30",
    "2026-10-23",
    23
   ],
   [
    "Moonstar",
    "2026-10-02",
    "2026-10-15",
    13
   ],
   [
    "Comic Seymour (NTT Solmare)",
    "2026-10-15",
    "2026-10-21",
    6
   ],
   [
    "Trust Bank (Furusato Choice)",
    "2026-10-19",
    "2026-10-20",
    1
   ]
  ]
 }
}
